Kestra · Results

The record.

The Edge record.

Calls where our model sees an edge, each at the best direct UK price on offer when it was published. The same price, timing and record rules as Strike, and a fixture may carry one Strike call and one Edge call.

By arrangement with the Smart Betting Club, we send the day's calls each morning before kick-off, and they hold them as an independent record. SBC do not verify or endorse Kestra - they receive our calls, unaltered, as they were published.

The live record

96% landed · 23 of 24 live calls, since 29 Oct 2026

95% interval 80% to 99% · 0 void, not counted

Early figures from 24 decided live calls: these numbers will shift as more calls settle.

This season so far · 2026-27

Yield +11.1% at 1 point a call over 117 decided calls: 93 backtest and 24 live.

Yield by season

Net points over decided calls as a percentage, at 1 point a call · one column a season, July to June

  • backtest · the rule applied afterwards to archived closing UK prices
  • live · the forward record, from settled calls
  • a season both cover is one column with one figure: the backtest part at the base, the live part at the end, each as tall as its share of the season's decided calls
-5%0%+5%+10%+15%2022-23 · backtest · 3 May 2023 to 29 Jun 2023 · 53 calls, 53 decided · landed 85% (73% to 92%) · price 1.29 · +5.3 points · +9.9%+9.9%2022-232023-24 · backtest · 1 Jul 2023 to 30 Jun 2024 · 350 calls, 350 decided · landed 80% (75% to 84%) · price 1.32 · +15.2 points · +4.3%+4.3%2023-242024-25 · backtest · 4 Jul 2024 to 29 Jun 2025 · 314 calls, 314 decided · landed 78% (73% to 82%) · price 1.32 · +6.8 points · +2.1%+2.1%2024-252025-26 · backtest · 5 Jul 2025 to 27 Jun 2026 · 277 calls, 277 decided · landed 79% (74% to 84%) · price 1.32 · +12.1 points · +4.4%+4.4%2025-262026-27 · backtest + live · 11 Jul 2026 to 8 Nov 2026 · 117 calls, 117 (93 + 24) decided · landed 84% (76% to 89%) · price 1.33 · +12.9 points · +11.1%+11.1%2026-27

The backtest seasons apply the Edge rule afterwards to archived closing UK prices, each rating worked out only from matches played before its fixture; none was published at the time. The rule was written in October 2026 after reading these seasons, so they are its context, not a test of it: the live calls are the test, and they are read from settled calls. 2022-23 is May and June 2023 alone (the archive's closing prices start on 3 May 2023); the 2026-27 backtest runs to 28 October 2026, and the live record takes the season on from 29 October 2026 in the same column.

The same figures as a table
seasondecidedlandedyield
2022-235385%+9.9%
2023-2435080%+4.3%
2024-2531478%+2.1%
2025-2627779%+4.4%
2026-2711784%+11.1%

Exchange prices are counted before commission. Exchanges take 2-5% of the winnings, and only on calls that land.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Every settled Edge call · newest first

Sun 8 Nov

  1. Primeira Liga · Sun 8 NovEdge
    Estrela v Benfica
    2–3✓
    Our call · landed
    Benfica to winMatch result
    78%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Benfica to win
    Published price1.28 (7/25) at Coral · next best 1.25 (1/4) at Sky Betquoted Sat 04:32 UTC · kick-off 20:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 0.74 v 2.66

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.585%
    • Over 2.566%
    • Over 3.544%
    • Over 4.526%
    Both teams to score48%
    Estrela clean sheet7%
    Benfica clean sheet48%
    Winning margin
    Benfica by 3+35%
    Benfica by 222%
    Benfica by 121%
    Draw13%
    Estrela by 16%
    Estrela by 22%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 0–2 · 12%
    • 0–3 · 10%
    • 0–1 · 9%
    • 1–2 · 9%
    • 1–3 · 8%
    • 2–3 · 3%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  2. Eliteserien · Sun 8 NovEdge
    Viking v KFUM Oslo
    5–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Viking to winMatch result
    77%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Viking to win
    Published price1.24 (6/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.23 (23/100) at Casumoquoted Sat 04:34 UTC · kick-off 16:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.56 v 0.82

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.585%
    • Over 2.566%
    • Over 3.544%
    • Over 4.525%
    Both teams to score52%
    Viking clean sheet44%
    KFUM Oslo clean sheet7%
    Winning margin
    KFUM Oslo by 3+1%
    KFUM Oslo by 22%
    KFUM Oslo by 16%
    Draw14%
    Viking by 124%
    Viking by 223%
    Viking by 3+31%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 12%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 1–0 · 10%
    • 3–0 · 9%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 5–1 · 3%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  3. Belgian Pro League · Sun 8 NovEdge
    Gent v Kortrijk
    1–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Gent to winMatch result
    71%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Gent to win
    Published price1.47 (47/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.45 (9/20) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Sat 04:32 UTC · kick-off 15:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.15 v 0.66

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.578%
    • Over 2.553%
    • Over 3.531%
    • Over 4.515%
    Both teams to score43%
    Gent clean sheet52%
    Kortrijk clean sheet12%
    Winning margin
    Kortrijk by 22%
    Kortrijk by 17%
    Draw19%
    Gent by 124%
    Gent by 222%
    Gent by 3+26%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 14%
    • 1–0 · 13%
    • 3–0 · 10%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 1–1 · 9%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  4. Chinese Super League · Sun 8 NovEdge
    Shanghai Port v Liaoning Tieren
    6–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Shanghai Port to winMatch result
    72%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Shanghai Port to win
    Published price1.32 (8/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.29 (29/100) at Betfair Sportsbookquoted Sat 04:35 UTC · kick-off 07:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.75 v 1.03

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.589%
    • Over 2.573%
    • Over 3.552%
    • Over 4.533%
    Both teams to score61%
    Shanghai Port clean sheet36%
    Liaoning Tieren clean sheet6%
    Winning margin
    Liaoning Tieren by 3+1%
    Liaoning Tieren by 23%
    Liaoning Tieren by 17%
    Draw16%
    Shanghai Port by 120%
    Shanghai Port by 220%
    Shanghai Port by 3+33%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 2–0 · 9%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 3–0 · 8%
    • 1–1 · 7%
    • 6–1 · 1%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Sat 7 Nov

  1. Serie A · Sat 7 NovEdge
    Roma v Sassuolo
    3–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Roma to winMatch result
    71%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Roma to win
    Published price1.32 (8/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.32 (8/25) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 19:45 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.38 v 0.89

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.584%
    • Over 2.564%
    • Over 3.541%
    • Over 4.523%
    Both teams to score54%
    Roma clean sheet41%
    Sassuolo clean sheet9%
    Winning margin
    Sassuolo by 3+1%
    Sassuolo by 23%
    Sassuolo by 18%
    Draw17%
    Roma by 123%
    Roma by 221%
    Roma by 3+27%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 1–0 · 9%
    • 3–0 · 8%
    • 1–1 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  2. Eliteserien · Sat 7 NovEdge
    Rosenborg v Start
    4–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Rosenborg to winMatch result
    78%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Rosenborg to win
    Published price1.25 (1/4) at Casumo · next best 1.23 (23/100) at Unibetquoted Fri 04:33 UTC · kick-off 17:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.85 v 0.83

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.598%
    • Over 1.588%
    • Over 2.571%
    • Over 3.550%
    • Over 4.531%
    Both teams to score53%
    Rosenborg clean sheet44%
    Start clean sheet6%
    Winning margin
    Start by 22%
    Start by 16%
    Draw13%
    Rosenborg by 120%
    Rosenborg by 221%
    Rosenborg by 3+38%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 10%
    • 3–0 · 10%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 1–0 · 7%
    • 4–1 · 6%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  3. Bundesliga · Sat 7 NovEdge
    Dortmund v Elversberg
    2–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Dortmund to winMatch result
    72%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Dortmund to win
    Published price1.34 (17/50) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.34 (17/50) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 14:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.91 v 1.17

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.598%
    • Over 1.592%
    • Over 2.577%
    • Over 3.558%
    • Over 4.539%
    Both teams to score66%
    Dortmund clean sheet31%
    Elversberg clean sheet5%
    Winning margin
    Elversberg by 3+1%
    Elversberg by 23%
    Elversberg by 17%
    Draw15%
    Dortmund by 120%
    Dortmund by 220%
    Dortmund by 3+34%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 2–0 · 7%
    • 3–0 · 7%
    • 1–1 · 6%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  4. Bundesliga · Sat 7 NovEdge
    Mainz v Bayern Munich
    1–2✓
    Our call · landed
    Bayern Munich to winMatch result
    70%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Bayern Munich to win
    Published price1.35 (7/20) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.35 (7/20) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 14:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 1.18 v 2.72

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.598%
    • Over 1.590%
    • Over 2.575%
    • Over 3.555%
    • Over 4.535%
    Both teams to score65%
    Mainz clean sheet7%
    Bayern Munich clean sheet31%
    Winning margin
    Bayern Munich by 3+30%
    Bayern Munich by 220%
    Bayern Munich by 121%
    Draw16%
    Mainz by 19%
    Mainz by 24%
    Mainz by 3+2%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 1–2 · 9%
    • 1–3 · 8%
    • 0–2 · 8%
    • 0–3 · 7%
    • 1–1 · 7%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Thu 5 Nov

  1. Brasileirão Série A · Thu 5 NovEdge
    Palmeiras v Remo
    6–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Palmeiras to winMatch result
    78%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Palmeiras to win
    Published price1.25 (1/4) at Coral · next best 1.23 (23/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission)quoted Wed 04:33 UTC · kick-off 22:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.40 v 0.55

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.580%
    • Over 2.557%
    • Over 3.534%
    • Over 4.518%
    Both teams to score39%
    Palmeiras clean sheet57%
    Remo clean sheet9%
    Winning margin
    Remo by 21%
    Remo by 15%
    Draw15%
    Palmeiras by 123%
    Palmeiras by 223%
    Palmeiras by 3+33%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 15%
    • 1–0 · 12%
    • 3–0 · 12%
    • 2–1 · 8%
    • 1–1 · 7%
    • 6–1 · 1%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Wed 4 Nov

  1. Brasileirão Série A · Wed 4 NovEdge
    Flamengo RJ v Gremio
    3–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Flamengo RJ to winMatch result
    74%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Flamengo RJ to win
    Published price1.19 (19/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.19 (19/100) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Tue 04:34 UTC · kick-off 22:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.35 v 0.70

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.595%
    • Over 1.581%
    • Over 2.559%
    • Over 3.536%
    • Over 4.519%
    Both teams to score46%
    Flamengo RJ clean sheet50%
    Gremio clean sheet10%
    Winning margin
    Gremio by 22%
    Gremio by 17%
    Draw17%
    Flamengo RJ by 123%
    Flamengo RJ by 222%
    Flamengo RJ by 3+29%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 13%
    • 1–0 · 11%
    • 3–0 · 10%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 1–1 · 8%
    • 3–1 · 7%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Tue 3 Nov

  1. Allsvenskan · Tue 3 NovEdge
    Sirius v Halmstad
    2–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Sirius to winMatch result
    71%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Sirius to win
    Published price1.34 (17/50) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.34 (17/50) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Mon 04:35 UTC · kick-off 18:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.35 v 0.80

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.582%
    • Over 2.561%
    • Over 3.539%
    • Over 4.521%
    Both teams to score50%
    Sirius clean sheet45%
    Halmstad clean sheet10%
    Winning margin
    Halmstad by 3+1%
    Halmstad by 22%
    Halmstad by 18%
    Draw17%
    Sirius by 123%
    Sirius by 221%
    Sirius by 3+28%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 12%
    • 1–0 · 10%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 3–0 · 9%
    • 1–1 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Sun 1 Nov

  1. Greek Super League · Sun 1 NovEdge
    PAOK v Asteras Tripolis
    2–1✓
    Our call · landed
    PAOK to winMatch result
    75%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers PAOK to win
    Published price1.30 (3/10) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.30 (3/10) at Casumoquoted Sat 04:32 UTC · kick-off 17:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.52 v 0.69

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.595%
    • Over 1.584%
    • Over 2.563%
    • Over 3.540%
    • Over 4.522%
    Both teams to score46%
    PAOK clean sheet50%
    Asteras Tripolis clean sheet9%
    Winning margin
    Asteras Tripolis by 22%
    Asteras Tripolis by 16%
    Draw16%
    PAOK by 120%
    PAOK by 221%
    PAOK by 3+34%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 13%
    • 3–0 · 11%
    • 1–0 · 9%
    • 2–1 · 8%
    • 1–1 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  2. La Liga · Sun 1 NovEdge
    Santander v Real Madrid
    0–3✓
    Our call · landed
    Real Madrid to winMatch result
    76%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Real Madrid to win
    Published price1.25 (1/4) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.25 (1/4) at Coralquoted Sat 04:31 UTC · kick-off 15:15 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 1.26 v 3.50

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.599%
    • Over 1.595%
    • Over 2.586%
    • Over 3.570%
    • Over 4.552%
    Both teams to score69%
    Santander clean sheet3%
    Real Madrid clean sheet29%
    Winning margin
    Real Madrid by 3+44%
    Real Madrid by 218%
    Real Madrid by 115%
    Draw13%
    Santander by 17%
    Santander by 23%
    Santander by 3+1%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 1–3 · 7%
    • 1–4 · 7%
    • 1–2 · 6%
    • 0–3 · 6%
    • 0–4 · 6%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  3. Allsvenskan · Sun 1 NovEdge
    Djurgarden v Degerfors
    2–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Djurgarden to winMatch result
    74%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Djurgarden to win
    Published price1.29 (29/100) at 888sport · next best 1.29 (29/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission)quoted Sat 04:33 UTC · kick-off 13:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.26 v 0.64

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.579%
    • Over 2.555%
    • Over 3.533%
    • Over 4.517%
    Both teams to score42%
    Djurgarden clean sheet53%
    Degerfors clean sheet10%
    Winning margin
    Degerfors by 22%
    Degerfors by 17%
    Draw17%
    Djurgarden by 124%
    Djurgarden by 222%
    Djurgarden by 3+28%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 14%
    • 1–0 · 12%
    • 3–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 1–1 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  4. Süper Lig · Sun 1 NovEdge
    Trabzonspor v Gaziantep
    2–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Trabzonspor to winMatch result
    70%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Trabzonspor to win
    Published price1.36 (9/25) at Coral · next best 1.35 (7/20) at Unibetquoted Sat 04:32 UTC · kick-off 12:59 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.41 v 0.88

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.585%
    • Over 2.564%
    • Over 3.542%
    • Over 4.524%
    Both teams to score54%
    Trabzonspor clean sheet42%
    Gaziantep clean sheet9%
    Winning margin
    Gaziantep by 3+1%
    Gaziantep by 23%
    Gaziantep by 18%
    Draw17%
    Trabzonspor by 122%
    Trabzonspor by 221%
    Trabzonspor by 3+28%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 3–0 · 9%
    • 1–0 · 8%
    • 1–1 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  5. Serie A · Sun 1 NovEdge
    Como v Venezia
    1–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Como to winMatch result
    75%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Como to win
    Published price1.32 (8/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.32 (8/25) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Sat 04:32 UTC · kick-off 11:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.19 v 0.58

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.576%
    • Over 2.552%
    • Over 3.530%
    • Over 4.515%
    Both teams to score38%
    Como clean sheet56%
    Venezia clean sheet11%
    Winning margin
    Venezia by 22%
    Venezia by 17%
    Draw16%
    Como by 125%
    Como by 223%
    Como by 3+27%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 15%
    • 1–0 · 14%
    • 3–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 1–1 · 7%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  6. Süper Lig · Sun 1 NovEdge
    Amedspor v Eyupspor
    5–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Amedspor to winMatch result
    77%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Amedspor to win
    Published price1.30 (3/10) at Coral · next best 1.28 (7/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission)quoted Sat 04:32 UTC · kick-off 10:29 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 3.00 v 0.81

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.590%
    • Over 2.574%
    • Over 3.553%
    • Over 4.533%
    Both teams to score53%
    Amedspor clean sheet45%
    Eyupspor clean sheet6%
    Winning margin
    Eyupspor by 22%
    Eyupspor by 16%
    Draw15%
    Amedspor by 116%
    Amedspor by 219%
    Amedspor by 3+43%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 3–0 · 10%
    • 2–0 · 9%
    • 4–0 · 8%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 2–1 · 7%
    • 5–1 · 4%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Sat 31 Oct

  1. Primeira Liga · Sat 31 OctEdge
    Porto v Estoril
    4–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Porto to winMatch result
    78%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Porto to win
    Published price1.22 (11/50) at 888sport · next best 1.22 (11/50) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 20:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.50 v 0.62

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.582%
    • Over 2.560%
    • Over 3.538%
    • Over 4.521%
    Both teams to score42%
    Porto clean sheet54%
    Estoril clean sheet8%
    Winning margin
    Estoril by 21%
    Estoril by 16%
    Draw14%
    Porto by 122%
    Porto by 222%
    Porto by 3+34%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 14%
    • 3–0 · 11%
    • 1–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 4–0 · 7%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  2. Belgian Pro League · Sat 31 OctEdge
    Beveren v Union St-Gilloise
    1–2✓
    Our call · landed
    Union St-Gilloise to winMatch result
    75%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Union St-Gilloise to win
    Published price1.51 (51/100) at Casumo · next best 1.50 (1/2) at 888sportquoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 19:45 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 0.75 v 2.55

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.585%
    • Over 2.564%
    • Over 3.542%
    • Over 4.524%
    Both teams to score49%
    Beveren clean sheet8%
    Union St-Gilloise clean sheet47%
    Winning margin
    Union St-Gilloise by 3+33%
    Union St-Gilloise by 222%
    Union St-Gilloise by 121%
    Draw16%
    Beveren by 16%
    Beveren by 22%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 0–2 · 12%
    • 0–3 · 10%
    • 0–1 · 9%
    • 1–2 · 9%
    • 1–3 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  3. La Liga · Sat 31 OctEdge
    Betis v Malaga
    2–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Betis to winMatch result
    71%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Betis to win
    Published price1.38 (19/50) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.38 (19/50) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 17:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.38 v 0.66

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.581%
    • Over 2.559%
    • Over 3.537%
    • Over 4.519%
    Both teams to score43%
    Betis clean sheet52%
    Malaga clean sheet11%
    Winning margin
    Malaga by 22%
    Malaga by 19%
    Draw17%
    Betis by 119%
    Betis by 220%
    Betis by 3+33%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 12%
    • 3–0 · 11%
    • 1–0 · 10%
    • 1–1 · 8%
    • 2–1 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  4. Süper Lig · Sat 31 OctEdge
    Fenerbahce v Goztep
    1–2✗
    Our call · missed
    Fenerbahce to winMatch result
    71%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Fenerbahce to win
    Published price1.37 (37/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.36 (9/25) at Smarkets (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:34 UTC · kick-off 16:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.56 v 1.01

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.588%
    • Over 2.569%
    • Over 3.548%
    • Over 4.529%
    Both teams to score59%
    Fenerbahce clean sheet37%
    Goztep clean sheet8%
    Winning margin
    Goztep by 3+1%
    Goztep by 23%
    Goztep by 18%
    Draw17%
    Fenerbahce by 122%
    Fenerbahce by 221%
    Fenerbahce by 3+29%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 2–0 · 10%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 3–0 · 8%
    • 1–1 · 8%
    • 1–2 · 4%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  5. League One · Sat 31 OctEdge
    Stockport v AFC Wimbledon
    2–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Stockport to winMatch result
    73%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Stockport to win
    Published price1.30 (3/10) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.30 (3/10) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 15:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.16 v 0.68

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.595%
    • Over 1.577%
    • Over 2.554%
    • Over 3.531%
    • Over 4.516%
    Both teams to score43%
    Stockport clean sheet51%
    AFC Wimbledon clean sheet11%
    Winning margin
    AFC Wimbledon by 3+1%
    AFC Wimbledon by 22%
    AFC Wimbledon by 17%
    Draw16%
    Stockport by 126%
    Stockport by 223%
    Stockport by 3+25%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 14%
    • 1–0 · 14%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 3–0 · 10%
    • 1–1 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  6. Championship · Sat 31 OctEdge
    Middlesbrough v Charlton
    3–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Middlesbrough to winMatch result
    70%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Middlesbrough to win
    Published price1.29 (29/100) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.28 (7/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 15:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 1.92 v 0.69

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.573%
    • Over 2.548%
    • Over 3.526%
    • Over 4.512%
    Both teams to score42%
    Middlesbrough clean sheet51%
    Charlton clean sheet13%
    Winning margin
    Charlton by 3+1%
    Charlton by 23%
    Charlton by 18%
    Draw18%
    Middlesbrough by 129%
    Middlesbrough by 222%
    Middlesbrough by 3+19%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 1–0 · 16%
    • 2–0 · 15%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 1–1 · 9%
    • 3–0 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Fri 30 Oct

  1. Ligue 1 · Fri 30 OctEdge
    Le Havre v Paris SG
    1–5✓
    Our call · landed
    Paris SG to winMatch result
    73%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Paris SG to win
    Published price1.30 (3/10) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.29 (29/100) at Smarkets (exchange, before commission)quoted 04:32 UTC · kick-off 18:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 0.72 v 2.23

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.595%
    • Over 1.579%
    • Over 2.556%
    • Over 3.534%
    • Over 4.518%
    Both teams to score46%
    Le Havre clean sheet10%
    Paris SG clean sheet49%
    Winning margin
    Paris SG by 3+25%
    Paris SG by 223%
    Paris SG by 126%
    Draw15%
    Le Havre by 18%
    Le Havre by 22%
    Le Havre by 3+1%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 0–2 · 14%
    • 0–1 · 13%
    • 1–2 · 10%
    • 0–3 · 9%
    • 1–1 · 8%
    • 1–5 · 2%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.